Jakarta – Politcal tension in Indonesia is increasing with the upcoming 2023 presidential elections on February 14. Three presidential and vice-presidential candidate pairs, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, and Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD, are competing fiercely to gain support. Various surveys have been released, providing an overview of the electoral strength of each pair.
1. TKN West Java Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 51.67%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 25.96%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 11.76%
2. ICRC Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 37.3%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 33.5%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 24.1%
3. LPI Survey
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 38.75%
– Prabowo-Gibran: 34.25%
– Anies-Muhaimin: 24%
4. LSI Denny JA Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 40.3%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 28.6%
– Anies-Muhaimin: 20.3%
5. LSN Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 42.1%
– Ganjar-Mahfud Md: 28.8%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 25.2%
6. SPIN Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 43%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 26.1%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 22.7%
7. IPO Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 36.2%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 34.1%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 27.1%
8. PWS Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 52.1%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 41.5%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 22.4%
9. Poltracking Survey
– Prabowo-Gibran: 46.0%
– Anies-Cak Imin: 34.0%
– Ganjar-Mahfud: 19.0%
These surveys indicate varied support for the candidates, with Prabowo-Gibran often leading, followed by either Anies-Cak Imin or Ganjar-Mahfud, depending on the region and voter demographics. The Executive Director of Indikator Politik Indonesia, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, has indicated the potential for a tight competition between Prabowo-Gibran and Anies-Cak Imin in the second round, with the votes of Ganjar-Mahfud being an important variable.
The candidates are now focusing on campaigning in areas with the largest number of voters, including Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, and East Java. With time left for campaigning, the political dynamics could change, opening up the possibility of shifts in voter support. (SENOPATI)
